Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.257996 0.297932 0.341798 0.393530 0.452848 0.518714 0.597383
2024-10-13 0.195322 0.247144 0.309208 0.388912 0.488462 0.608615 0.764588
2024-10-20 0.156205 0.214895 0.290954 0.396496 0.538922 0.724223 0.983424
2024-10-27 0.121346 0.180521 0.263060 0.386141 0.564557 0.813290 1.185916
2024-11-03 0.102052 0.163192 0.254450 0.399827 0.624810 0.958835 1.491381
2024-11-10 0.087379 0.149455 0.248126 0.415235 0.689944 1.122085 1.851530
2024-11-17 0.072787 0.132665 0.233657 0.414821 0.729950 1.253166 2.184531
2024-11-24 0.060966 0.117981 0.219654 0.412146 0.765146 1.381464 2.534093
2024-12-01 0.051797 0.106067 0.208059 0.411188 0.802581 1.518775 2.921234
2024-12-08 0.044717 0.096599 0.199055 0.413075 0.845057 1.671037 3.359512
2024-12-15 0.039720 0.090243 0.194775 0.423137 0.904557 1.863642 3.904369
2024-12-22 0.034532 0.082376 0.185919 0.422093 0.941221 2.016913 4.395172
2024-12-29 0.030966 0.077491 0.182712 0.433047 1.006172 2.240057 5.071471
2025-01-05 0.026694 0.070051 0.172479 0.426547 1.032058 2.385674 5.607479
2025-01-12 0.023924 0.065684 0.168514 0.433859 1.090727 2.612237 6.360501
2025-01-19 0.020506 0.058901 0.157436 0.421906 1.101793 2.733058 6.891035
2025-01-26 0.018864 0.056512 0.156905 0.436368 1.180298 3.024132 7.873775
2025-02-02 0.017484 0.054548 0.157112 0.452825 1.266864 3.348328 8.990151
2025-02-09 0.015590 0.050662 0.151381 0.452158 1.308316 3.566492 9.873173
2025-02-16 0.013862 0.046884 0.145214 0.449105 1.342802 3.772226 10.757203
2025-02-23 0.012418 0.043664 0.140041 0.447965 1.382553 3.998291 11.732698
2025-03-02 0.011240 0.041041 0.136148 0.449949 1.431844 4.258301 12.844321
2025-03-09 0.010422 0.039452 0.135171 0.460837 1.509871 4.611387 14.277537